Tuesday, July 13, 2010

The Productivity Conundrum

While sipping coffee in the cafeteria of an mid-sized organization I visited some time back, it was interesting to see the number of people out there. I observed the occupancy at different times of the day, excluding the lunch hours of 1200-1500 hrs, when of course most of the employees would be in the cafeteria. Nevertheless, it appeared that in the time period of 0900-1200 hrs and 1500-1800 hrs, at any given point in time, there were roughly around 400 people in the cafeteria and its surrounds. I could not resist the urge to do some back of the envelope calculations and ponder about some productivity issues that would be faced by organizations.

The annual time spent by the employees at the cafeteria would be:
400 persons x 6 hours/day x 250 days = 600000 person hours = 600000 / 8 = 75000 person days

Assuming that around 50% of this time is required for having food and general socializing, it translates into 75000 / 2 = 37500 person days not accounted for.

In other words, 37500 person days / 250 days per year = 150 persons per year were hired in a non-productive fashion. For a company size of about 3000 persons, it means about 5 percent of employees were hired for nothing.

Of course, numbers do not tell the whole story. But then, do they, at least point towards something more meaningful for appropriate management action?

The typical layman’s response could be that employee strength is re-evaluated and adjusted for this non-productive number. However, that would be catering to the symptom and not the cause. The important questions that need to be asked and answered are:

- How best can this free employee time be utilized in areas like training and development, internal projects that address current issues ?
- Why were these persons hired in the first place?
- What assumptions were made earlier that are not relevant now?
- Is it the result of the current organization structure and the processes followed?
- Does it require an assessment of the new business realities and responding to them in a holistic fashion, rather than a simple employee count reduction?

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

The Challenge of Product Proliferation

The commonly visible symptoms of the problems affecting organizations include, amongst others, increasing customer dissatisfaction, higher customer servicing costs, more manpower requirements, increasing operating complexity, lowered product quality, increasing lead times thus leading to lowered profitability. While the possible causes for these symptoms are many, they are often inter-related and one of the common causes is indiscriminate product proliferation.

Product proliferation simply means too many ‘me-too’ product variants introduced to cater to minor customer preferences for generating additional revenues (and hopefully increase profitability as well). But as with any economic system, the existing organization set up has its set of limitations. The marginal cost of making, selling and supporting a new product variant soon catches up with the marginal revenue generated by that new product variant and enters into a zone adversely impacting profitability and business viability. Obviously, it is a situation that should be avoided.

If this is so simple a management logic, why do companies introduce these ‘me-too’ variants in the first place? And what prevents the management to detect at what point the marginal costs overcome the marginal revenues? And, importantly, what can be done about it?

First let us look at some reasons why these varieties are introduced in the first place. They are:

• Commoditization of offerings due to lack of fundamental product and process innovations
• Very high competition, need to differentiate and fear of losing market share if minor customer preferences are not accommodated
• Pressure to improve top line revenue
• Shortening product life cycles
• Easy use of existing knowledge to create the me-too variants
• Shared use of operation areas like available production capacity, sales & distribution channels, and common raw materials

These are genuine drivers that lead to product proliferation. What is the reason then, that it goes too far and starts becoming detrimental to the organization itself?

Primarily it is because the manager does not clearly know when the marginal cost starts eating into the marginal revenue and surpasses it. When a new variant is introduced, upfront costs of making and selling it need to be incurred. There is some lag that exists between when these costs are incurred and when the customers start adopting these variants, during which there is a difficulty in estimating how far customers have adopted the new variant. When a better picture emerges, three options can emerge i.e. the variant is a huge success, it is an absolute failure or it is moderately accepted by customers. The first two options lead to obvious conclusions, but the third one is where the ambiguity manifests itself. Many a times, this variant is continued in the hope that further efforts can boost its sales. But as new products get introduced in the market, some of these customers soon move away from the moderately successful variant. The result is that the organization is left with fewer customers and one more product variant to maintain both in terms of product availability and post sale support.

Now the third question: what can be done about it? Multiple approaches can be suggested and their usage in combination with each other can help resolve the challenge of product proliferation.

• Establish and implement strict criteria for regular assessment of the uniqueness, success and continuance of a product variant, both at a variant level and organization level.
• Understand the customer order penetration point into the product manufacturing cycle and structure the operations accordingly.
• Sun-set older variants and their support when new ones are introduced.
• Usage of techniques like Activity based Costing can help in identifying potential candidates for investment, maintenance or retirement.

Thus, one can approach the challenge posed by product proliferation and also address the competitive forces effectively.

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

The Balancing Act

While we were discussing the business challenges of a medium sized, $60 million company making specialty polymers, a production planning executive highlighted the age old problem of performing the balancing act between the production/procurement plan with the ever fluctuating sales orders and the regular pains they had to undergo to try to achieve the balance between them. The essential facts of this classic case were as follows.

The company made and sold around 150 polymer grades manufactured out of some hundred odd ingredients. The production runs had to be of specific lot sizes and be planned based on a specific product sequence dependent on the individual polymer grades and their characteristics. The production run had to be scheduled at least three weeks in advance. The raw material procurement lead times could vary from 1 week to 12 weeks. Adding to the complexity, customer orders could come in with lead times of less than a week for out of stock materials and cause disturbance in the existing production schedule. The essential challenge was how to manage the dynamism inherent in the cumulative purchase and production lead times of 4 to 15 weeks versus the 1 week lead time of the unplanned orders.

We decided to further explore the issue by conducting an impact analysis on two fronts.

1. Loss of sales versus better production efficiencies:

A preliminary, but incisive, analysis of the situation brought out that most of the unplanned orders came in from C class customers who accounted for not more than 30% of total sales. The unplanned orders were typically made for some 40 polymer grades and accounted for around 5% of total company sales. The company had an operating profit margin of about 10%, the material cost was around 70% and cost of goods sold typically was 90% of the sale price.

We then asked the question “What if the unplanned orders were not catered to at all? What would be the fallout?” Some quick calculations showed that the real impact on business would be
= $60 million x 5% unplanned order revenue x 10% operating profit margin = $0.3 million.

But on the other side production runs would be smoother with waste reduction of say 1%. This implied a saving of
= $60 million x 70% material cost x 1% saving = $0.42 million

Thus just ignoring the unplanned orders could result in a net business benefit of $0.12 million.

2. Preserved sales versus higher inventory carrying costs:

We decided to push further. What if the safety stock levels of those relevant 40 grades were pushed up to a level that would help satisfy the unplanned orders? Assuming finance costs of 10%, the financial impact of that decision would be
= $60 million x 5% unplanned orders x 70% material cost x 10% finance cost = $0.21 million

Again this has a net savings of $0.09 million

Combine the two impacts, there would be no loss of sales, production efficiencies would be high and the total benefits would be
= $0.3 million (no loss of sale) + $0.42 million (better production efficiency) - $0.21 million (inventory carrying costs) = $0.51 million

Similar impact analysis can be done on the raw material lead times, production plan time fences, warehousing and other relevant aspects to identify potential business improvement opportunities.

Though the situation is much simplified in this example, it can serve as an effective method to further delve into the problem and arrive at relevant business solutions.

Monday, May 17, 2010

Tackling the Complexity Creep

Initial success leads most organizations to strive and repeat the success on a larger scale, in more complex situations. It implies higher turnover of existing assets plus addition of new assets. These assets could be in the primary areas of physical infrastructure, monetary resources, technology, systems, information and most importantly people. The route taken most often by organizations is to use a similar, if not the same success formula of combining the old and new resources to achieve further success.

Such actions imply that the earlier framework is now stretched to include new resources, tackle new operating situations and deliver expected results. This initial stretch though more complex, with some push delivers the results, albeit in a less efficient manner. As with any system, such stretches would be effective till a point; after which the operating framework would start to fail and result in a tangled mess. It is not too uncommon to see successful, high growth organizations having people across all levels working in ambiguity, isolation and exhaustion, simply because they are unable to comprehend the new complexity of working towards the expected results. Clarity is difficult to come by as it is in short supply. Confusion prevails as this complexity slowly increases over a period of time and past successes. Lets call this process as Complexity Creep.

How to tackle such a Complexity Creep?

A process centric, back to basics approach initiated by the top management can serve well to reduce the complexity creep. It involves asking a few simple questions, collectively answering those and following these with action. The primary aim is to change the existing way of working and simplify operations for higher effectiveness and efficiency.

The first and foremost thing to do is to build a clear understanding of the new organization objectives and the available resources, with their strengths and limitations. It would need to be supplemented by gaining better insight and acceptance of current operating problems. A multi team participation from all stakeholders is recommended to foster ownership and enhance teamwork.

At this stage, it is very helpful to rely on BPM methodologies and build various operating models like Strategy, Business Interactions, Communication, Process, Workflow, SIPOC, Roles, Metrics etc. to consolidate a common understanding of the mentioned activities. Such models necessitate the participants to have a common understanding and acceptance of the new operating framework. There are change management techniques available which help such teams to collectively arrive an accepted way if working.

Once this part is agreed upon, then the time comes to define the manner in which the new approach would be carried out. It can imply decisions regarding the scope of change i.e. product lines, projects, business units etc. and the manner in which such change would be effected. Once the scope is in place, timeframes need to be associated to the plan along with required resources. Metrics also need to be decided to measure organizational performance and arrive at benefits achieved. Finally, establish a clear methodology of implementing the plan and have change management chamions to drive the change.

To ensure the success of such initiatives, some thumb-rules seem to work very well. They are:
• Regular involvement of the organizational leaders and their proven commitment to change
• Ensuring high participation from the scarce pool of top performers
• Professional involvement to provide change management expertise and a third party view

Thursday, February 11, 2010

The Puzzle of the Three-Legged Race

During school, most have seen and enjoyed the three-legged race...some of us would have actually experienced the fun as well. While for some, its a nightmare to even take a few steps, there are a few others who are running as fast as they would have run individually! Arms over shoulders, steps in synchronization and off they go towards the 'Finish' line to win the prize!

A complex puzzle for those who can't...and nothing so simple for those who can!

Organizational projects are no less of a three-legged race themselves, where:
Leg 1 = Customer
Leg 2 = Solution Provider
Leg 3 = The actual solution and the project itself where the Customer and the Solution Provider are tied together

Some of these project engagements struggle to identify the Leg 3 itself, while some others run off to finish the race in record time and reap immense business benefits. A clear understanding of dependencies of Leg 1, Leg 2 and Leg 3 followed with precise, continuous coordination between the three legs is perhaps all that's needed to solve the puzzle of the three-legged race!